Posted by
Ennuipundit on Tuesday, October 17, 2006 2:43:39 PM
The difference between what people say and what people do is not as
small a gap as we would like it to be. The ease with which one may
pronounce this ideal or laud that platitude or discuss plaintively
about we know to be true, in our existential self, often varies widely
from our actions regarding our so-called "ideals", "platitudes" and
"existential selves." Truth has been a fungible commodity for much of
the last fifty years, so it does not surprise me that when asked for
our true feelings or opinions, many people respond, not with their true
feelings, but with what they assume the questioner wants or expects
them to say.
Most people can understand this concept. A number of people, in
pursuit of companionship, (read a hook up) will say any number of
things they do not really feel, recognizing that there is a verifiable
benefit to them. Does it alter what they believe? Only for tonight,
baby. Only for tonight. If you know of what I speak, either by personal
experience or through observation or anecdote, then you can grasp what
it means to feel social pressure.
At the heart of all people is an unflinching yearning for acceptance. Sum it up like this.
I want you to want me.
I need you to need me.
Id love you to love me.
Im beggin you to beg me.
Social pressure is that feeling you have when you aren't comfortable
saying what you feel. My contention is that in our climate, as
politically charged as it is, the worries of social pressures influence
public opinion. So today's news from NPR doesn't worry me.
Three weeks before the November election, likely voters
continue to be pessimistic about the direction the country is heading
and they disapprove of President Bush's performance, according to a new
NPR poll. Against that backdrop, Democrats hold a growing margin in the
battle for control of the U.S. House, the poll shows.
The poll, conducted last week, is certainly good news for Democrats
and their supporters. But allow me to get lyrical again and suggest
that we need a little less talk, and a lot more action.
Voters go to the polls three weeks today. Absentee ballots have
already gone out. But citizens have been voting all year long. Not at
community centers and schools. They have been voting with their wallets
and giving support to candidates left and right. Well, mostly right
according to the Washington Post.
Despite a rush of campaign donations to Democrats
earlier this year, Republican incumbents in highly competitive races in
the House have a substantial cash advantage going into the final weeks
before the midterm elections.
Democrats spent more heavily over the summer and early autumn than
their Republican rivals in pivotal House districts, leaving themselves
at a disadvantage of more than 2 to 1 in money on hand, according to a
Washington Post analysis of the latest campaign disclosures.
The advantages are obvious. Republicans can spend more money getting
both the word and the vote out. Even with a catalog of mistakes and
miscues that have diminished them, Republicans possess the fundamentals
necessary to retain majorities in both the House and the Senate. Those
majorities might shrink, but it would take an October surprise of
cosmic proportions to overcome the cash advantage that the Republicans
have. And unlike the Democrats in '04, the Republicans are not going to
hold any of that money in reserve to fund legal battles that may never
need to be waged.
My estimate is that the news from Missouri, reported in the Hotline, via Sixers at NRO,
is just the beginning of funding woes that will develop for Democrats.
I believe that fundraising begins with an idea. Whatever the idea is,
there is a limit to the amount of support a person can garner. There is
no limit to the support an idea can get. Democrats remain the party of
gridlock. Rather than push an agenda, they push against President Bush.
They sing the chorus against everything he does. That vitriol animates
their base, but it fails to resonate with regular folks. The eighty
percent of Americans who couldn't care less about the ramifications of
Lynne Stewart light sentence and who will not lose a bit of sleep of
the civil rights that could be trampled by the Patriot Act. We wonder
who these folks are, because they don't know who Karl Rove is. And with
a chuckle, I might add, they probably wonder about us because we do
know who Karl Rove is.
But these folks, some of them at any rate, show up on the first
Tuesday after the first Monday of November and participate in the civic
process. And at that juncture they are going to examine what effects
them most. How much they paid at the pump this week. What their 401(k)
looks like this quarter. How their kids are doing at school. And if all
of that is okay, they are not going to significantly change how they
voted from last go around. And for Republicans, that is their greatest
saving grace.
As Glenn Reynolds has said, the Republicans have not won this race.
Not at all. In fact, they earned a loss. The Democrats have not earned
the win. In politics, tie goes to the incumbent.